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PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?

Probability

45¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$141.12

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 76.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5984.3h

    LOW
  • 15:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (76.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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