Close-Neighbourhood-Poll
0x9cfd9a6f348479743b872a955255cb32d32fae1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$199.66
Total PnL
$-128.62
Realised
$-2.04
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.79
$4.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.55
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?
5 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 8?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 7?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 7?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$3.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on June 8?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.00
$1.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$4.99
$1.29
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
5 shares @ 38.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$4.99
$3.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 7?$4.99Jun 8, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.59Jun 8, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.60Jun 8, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.85Jun 8, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 8?$1.45Jun 8, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$2.84Jun 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.60Jun 8, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.25Jun 8, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7?$5.00Jun 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.90Jun 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$2.15Jun 8, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.