Constant-Vogue
0x9d21cf49148ba034fc180beedd82105b45029e0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$56.78
Total PnL
$-258.90
Realised
$-14.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
494 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.78
$-2.47
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
2721 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?
1277 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
824 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
771 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
298 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?
245 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
233 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
168 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
89 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes Iran during Big Game...?$16.00Feb 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$17.50Feb 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes Iran during Big Game...?$4.00Feb 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$25.00Jan 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?$20.00Jan 26, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$21.00Jan 25, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$18.52Jan 25, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$0.00Jan 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$20.00Jan 23, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$9.60Jan 23, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$31.68Jan 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$27.00Jan 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$26.81Jan 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$26.00Jan 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.27Jan 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$27.54Jan 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$17.00Jan 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$29.87Jan 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$73.03Jan 14, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.