Fluid-Commotion
0x9d4aea6f0609c6a77070c573d78679ba4d136cb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$895.12
Realised
$694.14
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
3661 shares @ 76.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$2.9K
$159.70
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
1885 shares @ 82.4¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$1.7K
$147.35
- YES
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
1547 shares @ 78.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$1.3K
$72.05
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.00
$12.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
326 shares @ 68.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.50
$-158.84
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
199 shares @ 29.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.70
$1.56
- YES
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?
84 shares @ 94.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.07
$-37.63
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
25 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.50
$-0.75
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
11 shares @ 69.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.56
$2.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 84.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.12
$0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$495.11Jun 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$41.41Jun 14, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$0.00Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$540.62Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$278.13Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.61Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$19.39Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$126.23Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.49Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$432.23Jun 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$79.12Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$79.48Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$0.11Jun 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$133.37Jun 8, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$10.00May 31, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$10.00May 31, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$79.84May 29, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$26.40May 29, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$6.60May 29, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $77.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.