Elderly-Revolver
0x9d6d213c3e1aa28f3da8a6bb9816e730617972f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.05
Realised
$-99.03
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 3?
270 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 6?
268 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 7?
263 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11?
259 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 5?
252 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 9?
251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 16?
239 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 14?
238 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 16?
227 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
225 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 14?$3.31Aug 14, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 13?$76.58Aug 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 13?$73.67Aug 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$3.30Jul 16, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$78.67Jul 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$76.31Jul 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7?$1.61Jun 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in May?$1.66May 31, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$77.00May 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$75.46May 26, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 24?$1.72May 23, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$82.00May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$80.36May 18, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?$74.32May 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?$71.05May 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?$75.24May 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 2?$0.00Apr 27, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 22?$2.29Apr 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?$73.66Apr 18, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?$87.36Apr 18, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $32.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.