Lean-Rooster
0x9d7571ff6fec2c732fd9040c058638c2010571d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$17.48
Total PnL
$-363.02
Realised
$-9.41
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
29 shares @ 55.0¢·now 38.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.23
$-4.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.00
$-1.67
- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.02
$-0.28
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
55 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.22
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$7.13Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$1.72Jul 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$1.03Jul 26, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$0.80Jul 26, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$0.18Jul 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$0.05Jul 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$0.67Jul 26, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?$7.13Jul 23, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?$6.42Jul 20, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.48Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.