Elated-Cat
0x9d8bfb35ca13bb30b2a1834ef5a70ca3697948c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$513.37
Realised
$9.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
1836 shares @ 14.4¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$898.96
$634.97
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
397 shares @ 43.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$176.64
$3.29
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
350 shares @ 6.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.97
$26.97
- YES
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
1030 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.11
$1.11
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
314 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.43
$-1.57
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.15
$1.55
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.64
$7.64
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
106 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.42
$0.42
- YES
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
463 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.81
$-2.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$10.00May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$10.00May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$1.04May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$17.57May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$3.11May 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$10.00May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.00May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$15.00May 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$3.00May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$10.00May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$7.00May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.00May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.07May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.76May 17, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$13.00May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$12.00May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$1.00May 17, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$0.00May 17, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".