Carefree-Outcome
0x9da051a8da35c7d8e7847b366bc8b418879a4bb0
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$122.57
Total PnL
$-84.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$48.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$34.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?
82 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$21.64
$-2.04
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 24.7¢·now 24.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.59
$-1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?$24.1821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-09?$26.5821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?$38.7121h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$36.982d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$51.152d ago
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$103.643d ago
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Knicks$73.653d ago
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks$81.113d ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$81.073d ago
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$83.503d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$81.783d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$165.383d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$16.364d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$92.084d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.0052d ago
- REDEEMWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.0052d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.0052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.0052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.0052d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $40.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 52d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
