Raw-Oak
0x9db778f46b7c9b458045764a67ff4afcae917e1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$101.76
Total PnL
$-635.3K
Realised
$-182.2K
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Up Only podcast released by November 30?
58 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$58.41
$50.82
- NO
Up Only podcast released by December 31?
43 shares @ 0.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$43.35
$43.22
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
531607 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.1K
- YES
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
515807 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.4K
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
280000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-14.0K
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
233130 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-103.0K
- NO
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
228620 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.8K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
188854 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.7K
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
135839 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-93.9K
- NO
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
135690 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.2K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$31.06Nov 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.00Nov 19, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Nov 19, 09:08 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Nov 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.01Nov 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.72Nov 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$276.00Nov 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$2.52Nov 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$5.00Nov 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$10.00Nov 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$67.28Nov 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?$59.76Nov 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$250.51Nov 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$300.51Nov 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$7.73Nov 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$740.60Nov 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$4.9KNov 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?$968.56Nov 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?$76.32Nov 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?$51.07Nov 17, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".