Pointed-Camp
0x9def55a2066974b33c3971cdbc566e0ffc6256bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-45.47
Realised
$386.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
842 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$792.42
$-7.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
633 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$598.10
$98.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
532 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$524.20
$24.20
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
225 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.72
$11.72
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
781 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.17
$-498.83
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
301 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-59.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$648.39Jul 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$499.05Jun 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$800.00Jun 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$500.00Jun 15, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.1KJun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$61.11Jun 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$936.62Jun 11, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$600.00Jun 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$204.16Jun 11, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$204.17Jun 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$102.12Jun 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$869.83Jun 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.0KJun 9, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$919.54Jun 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$511.87Jun 7, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$214.89May 15, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$545.67May 5, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$576.62May 5, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$638.03May 5, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$823.01May 5, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $346.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.