Unlined-Significance
0x9dfcc6d4eb7e0ff555afad91602a7471d47ea2bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$2.62
Total PnL
$-114.42
Realised
$-2.33
Win rate
0%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-2.36
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-1.91
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1059 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Leave China on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$2.02Jun 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.66Jun 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$4.06Jun 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$3.95Jun 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$8.08Jun 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.06Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$12.98Jun 15, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$4.06Jun 15, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$4.04Jun 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.06Jun 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$9.99Jun 15, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$3.17Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$3.00Jun 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.08Jun 14, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$7.68Jun 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$4.06Jun 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.12Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
52 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.