Proud-Homework
0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$12.1K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$130.82
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?
894 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$878.22
$78.22
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
788 shares @ 92.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$768.04
$41.46
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
755 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$744.47
$34.48
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
654 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$496.84
$-13.16
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
543 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$480.74
$40.74
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
579 shares @ 73.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.28
$26.44
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
585 shares @ 44.4¢·now 76.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$447.42
$187.57
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
456 shares @ 88.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$445.85
$40.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
469 shares @ 34.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$391.32
$228.80
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by July 31?
362 shares @ 88.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$356.65
$36.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$261.37Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$260.92Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$230.46Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$227.59Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$90.37Jul 27, 10:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$230.60Jul 26, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$74.37Jul 26, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$100.24Jul 25, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$0.00Jul 25, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$200.49Jul 25, 14:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$361.91Jul 24, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of July 20 2026?$180.62Jul 24, 23:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$40.10Jul 22, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$100.24Jul 22, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $153.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.