Likely-Butane
0x9e5fc090c9f769420bec275409a6d309f1bb167b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-438.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 25?
284 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 30?
282 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 31?
282 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 19?
282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.70 December 15-21?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on December 31?
279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 26?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.89
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on December 30?
278 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 23?
276 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$90.92Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$0.29May 30, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$89.17May 30, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 25?$2.23May 25, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 20?$88.55May 20, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 20?$0.22May 19, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 20?$86.74May 19, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$84.49May 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$82.80May 10, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?$19.59May 10, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 28?$2.77Apr 28, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 6?$81.51Apr 25, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 14?$2.52Apr 14, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00Apr 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 6?$0.08Apr 6, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 6?$78.58Apr 6, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 on March 27?$80.63Apr 6, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on December 21?$0.00Mar 31, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?$0.51Mar 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?$16.53Mar 30, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $30.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.