Grim-Cob
0x9e8ecc4cb3c4e48f544cba2fbbb252a6a65e8db8
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$120.2K
Total PnL
$666.87
Realised
$18.30
Win rate
71%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
58000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.9K
$28.9K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.6K
$14.6K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.7K
$7.2K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.4K
$-14.6K
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2034 shares @ 39.8¢·now 40.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$813.52
$4.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?
939 shares @ 45.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$709.26
$285.95
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
1943 shares @ 35.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$563.41
$-125.02
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
826 shares @ 10.4¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$545.01
$459.11
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
554 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$490.25
$19.39
- NO
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July 2026?
345 shares @ 77.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$342.09
$76.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$46.50Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$33.60Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$6.99Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$1.68Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$1.36Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$3.76Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.16Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$22.24Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$17.00Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$25.00Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$15.30Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$33.96Jul 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$16.50Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.00Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$26.00Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$1.44Jul 28, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boeing" during Fox & Friends appearance?$20.00Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gay" during Fox & Friends appearance?$29.99Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$86.00Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ukraine" during Fox & Friends appearance?$37.28Jul 28, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
38 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $14.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.