Open-Subway
0x9eb9e446e5f7148f6d1e9e1c07488c4464a23ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.15
Total PnL
$0.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 86.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.65
$0.40
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
2 shares @ 65.4¢·now 77.4¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.48
$0.23
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.38
$0.13
- NO
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.37
$0.12
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$1.24
$-0.01
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?
2 shares @ 77.3¢·now 76.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.24
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.24
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
1 shares @ 85.9¢·now 81.2¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.18
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?$1.26Aug 2, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?$1.27Aug 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?$1.26Aug 2, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?$1.27Aug 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July?$1.26Aug 2, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$1.25Aug 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$1.27Aug 1, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$1.26Aug 1, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.01Aug 1, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$1.11Aug 1, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$1.14Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$1.27Jul 31, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 29, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.06Jul 29, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?$1.01Jul 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.01Jul 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$1.01Jul 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$1.01Jul 10, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.