Poor-Coincidence
0x9ec8642accdd3c2c923ea00dc919f23ef049122b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.07
Total PnL
$-13.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.83
$3.53
- YES
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.14
$2.14
- YES
Will Bath win?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$1.92
$0.13
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ACEND
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group B
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Democrat" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$5.30Jan 20, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Democrat" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)$5.00Jan 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$5.00Jan 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bath win?$1.79Jan 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group B$5.00Jan 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Jan 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Jan 19, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Oct 6, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$7.20Oct 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$2.60Oct 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?$0.01Oct 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$5.80Oct 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$5.22Oct 1, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$4.78Oct 1, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.