Jolly-Average
0x9ed706a6fc343361e72aa0868b47a121b4c57970
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$34.65
Total PnL
$-357.21
Realised
$-34.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$34.65
$24.65
- NO
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
2337 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.75
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
827 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
405 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
356 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?
349 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
317 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
316 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?
190 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$15.00Mar 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$10.00Mar 12, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?$54.67Nov 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?$5.00Nov 4, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$20.00Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?$20.00Nov 4, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$20.00Nov 4, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$15.10Oct 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$61.50Oct 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$19.75Oct 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$40.00Oct 26, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?$10.00Oct 25, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$40.00Oct 25, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$20.00Oct 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$40.00Sep 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iran in July?$3.95Jul 28, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$20.00Jul 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?$5.00Jul 6, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$13.00Jul 5, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?$20.00Jul 5, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $25.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".