Shadowy-Everything
0x9ef431080f5edc80dc4102784816d8cf954cbf94
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.25
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.81May 22, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$8.23May 22, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.00May 22, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.24May 22, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$46.41May 16, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.72May 15, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.78May 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.20May 10, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.20May 10, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$4.02May 10, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 10, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 10, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$5.12May 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$138.74May 9, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?$1.00May 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$1.00May 8, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.