Determined-Gear
0x9f086ae32344b489a004109f06fced08154273a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$61.5K
Total PnL
$-283.54
Realised
$449.43
Win rate
69%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
8502 shares @ 58.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.8K
$834.13
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2910 shares @ 91.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$205.18
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3300 shares @ 80.3¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$149.29
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2900 shares @ 79.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$105.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
5883 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.4K
$-2.46
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
2201 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$62.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
3568 shares @ 49.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$173.55
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
1935 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.9K
$45.46
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
4203 shares @ 40.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$171.82
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1941 shares @ 84.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$154.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$244.17Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$190.00Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$199.40Jun 13, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.3KJun 13, 06:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.25Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.52Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$11.65Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$94.65Jun 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$0.86Jun 12, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$32.14Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$127.40Jun 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$268.75Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$43.94Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$138.86Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$535.67Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$12.90Jun 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$17.20Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$31.49Jun 12, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $146.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.