Deserted-Encouragement
0x9f1b32bff086c6b27355d66112b245a55603251a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.40
Total PnL
$-3.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
2 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$2.47
$0.97
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$1.00Jan 18, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.32Jan 18, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 17, 23:03 UTC
- SPLITS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$1.00Jan 17, 23:03 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 17, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET$1.59Jan 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00Jan 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 16, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.