Afraid-Mrna
0x9f444616d2450a5151922ac7c889911950b97470
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$862.70
Total PnL
$-370.09
Realised
$35.49
Win rate
66%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
222 shares @ 2.4¢·now 22.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.69
$44.36
- YES
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
275 shares @ 29.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$48.20
$-32.47
- NO
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
57 shares @ 67.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$46.74
$8.29
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
1991 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$34.84
$-2.99
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?
37 shares @ 81.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.24
$0.85
- NO
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
28 shares @ 63.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$22.81
$4.71
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
111 shares @ 9.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.03
$9.76
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
18 shares @ 93.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.18
$0.91
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
25 shares @ 65.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$14.68
$-1.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.37Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.46Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.46Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.46Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.46Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$11.54Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 13, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.