Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Probability
33¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$218.44
Liquidity
$33.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3373.3h
- 10:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3373h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).