Impeccable-Enclave
0x9f4ccabddd02543383b9c690899b00e4666b8e10
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.09
Total PnL
$-77.00
Realised
$2.52
Win rate
4%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 8, 2026$0.09
$-0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
1216 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
70 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
61 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
48 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
37 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
36 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
32 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
21 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.09Jul 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$2.05Jun 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.68May 27, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$2.93May 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$1.00May 27, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$1.00May 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$1.00May 27, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.50May 24, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.04May 24, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.04May 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.04May 23, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.04May 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.04May 23, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.86May 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.04May 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.05May 23, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.06May 22, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.10May 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.27May 22, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.