Close-Covariate
0x9f560390ee35e8eada0f050a11e358de31357d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.99Jul 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00Jul 22, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.99Jul 6, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.99Jul 6, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$5.00Jun 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.99Jun 6, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.99Jun 5, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.98May 21, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.97May 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.91Apr 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.92Apr 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ET$19.00Feb 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ET$9.50Feb 22, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Feb 22, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 20, 12PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$7.50Feb 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 20, 12PM ET$8.96Feb 20, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ET$24.00Feb 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ET$12.00Feb 16, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 14, 5PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.