0x9f754775d4d681c1eee0e3a04ba01a964bc7bd00
0x9f754775d4d681c1eee0e3a04ba01a964bc7bd00
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$137.41
Total PnL
$-50.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49 shares @ 34.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$49.16
$32.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
24 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$24.23
$5.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
24 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$23.93
$4.90
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
28 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.99
$-6.51
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$13.18
$1.45
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Nets
13 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$12.91
$1.56
- NO
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
340 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.55
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
134 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.62
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
129 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.12
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
99 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.18Mar 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.30Mar 17, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.43Mar 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.57Mar 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.74Mar 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.51Mar 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.57Mar 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$3.96Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$2.93Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$2.94Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?$0.28Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?$2.94Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?$1.14Mar 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$2.21Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$3.40Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$5.13Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.20Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?$0.35Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?$5.04Mar 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.33Mar 16, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.