Talkative-Composer
0x9f829704ad61388ac4d0fc92fd47e9ad9f1d949f
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.23
Total PnL
$-103.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
50 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11?$1.00Jan 9, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$2.00Jan 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE shooter charged by March 31?$1.00Jan 9, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$10.65Jan 9, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$12.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?$2.00Jul 6, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 6?$5.00Jul 6, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?$5.00Jul 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 6?$5.00Jul 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$15.00Jul 6, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$3.00Jul 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$2.00Jul 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have a #1 AI model this year?$8.00Jul 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?$1.00Jul 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMenendez brother released from custody before August?$1.00Jul 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$1.00Jul 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$2.00Jul 6, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.