Worthwhile-Acetate
0x9fb1dccc691dd9dd36193f79fc223c283598eab2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-290.91
Realised
$-95.04
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
652 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
293 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-88.18
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
42 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.13
- YES
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
35 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
4 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$51.26Jul 2, 21:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance AND Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$49.97Jun 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.23Jun 29, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$35.71Jun 29, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.07Jun 29, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.