Hungry-Spread
0x9fbd83d5584673945cbc17ba60226098faafd0e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-663.64
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
878 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$875.62
$2.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
857 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$805.83
$-16.59
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.74
$18.59
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.15
$12.48
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.95
$2.48
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.76
$18.09
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.52
$-3.72
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.85
$-7.82
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1131 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.13
$1.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.65
$11.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 21?$6.80Jun 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 21?$15.40Jun 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 21?$6.58Jun 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 21?$7.10Jun 20, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 21?$7.40Jun 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 21?$7.20Jun 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$824.07Jun 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$873.64Jun 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.8KJun 20, 01:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.8KJun 19, 06:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.7KJun 18, 17:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.7KJun 17, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$868.03Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$997.00Jun 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$864.73Jun 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$796.80Jun 16, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $364.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.