Worthy-Brotherinlaw
0x9fc299da19ed4637284cdc5dffae61a4c1e05723
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$305.47
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
342 shares @ 64.4¢·now 54.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$184.98
$-35.02
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21907 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$120.49
$-738.42
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10423 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-678.34
- YES
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
1018 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
309 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
272 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
251 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days?
162 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$30.53Jul 20, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$193.38Jul 20, 23:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$551.51Jul 3, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Jun 27, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$107.65Jun 26, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$543.05Jun 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$227.51Jun 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.61Jun 26, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$145.87Jun 26, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$21.00Jun 11, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $128.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.