Attached-Blogger
0x9fd81419f219ff186fb012394df4db525d6dd4ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$327.63
Total PnL
$-85.19
Realised
$-5.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
161 shares @ 41.6¢·now 55.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.71
$22.71
- YES
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
42 shares @ 76.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$33.58
$1.68
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$31.88
$6.88
- YES
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
51 shares @ 51.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$12.57
$2.57
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 47.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$9.82
$1.82
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
387 shares @ 21.6¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.09
$-74.72
- YES
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 17, 2026$8.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$11.99Aug 18, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$11.76Aug 18, 18:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?$6.10Aug 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alistair Plimmer win the 2026 Greater Wellington Regional Council by-election?$10.14Aug 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?$10.13Aug 17, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?$25.64Aug 17, 11:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?$20.40Aug 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$20.21Aug 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?$20.18Aug 11, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.