Unruly-Thunderbolt
0x9fe8575b05313c440340e3ae21af1e0e300c2c91
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-170.26
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 22.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$465.00
$-204.99
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
600 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$267.00
$-3.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$162.50
$1.50
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
3489 shares @ 10.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$156.99
$-221.30
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$116.50
$7.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
10000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$-720.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.50
$5.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.30Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.1KJun 13, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$40.45Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$6.30Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$9.92Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$6.98Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$630.00Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$105.00Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$93.54Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$52.50Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$511.19Jun 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.05Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$43.99Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$440.00Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.52Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$105.34Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $137.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.