Annual-Signup
0x9ff222beb9af78b8755105386b9bb77c3fc8fdd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.32
Total PnL
$-25.0K
Realised
$-5.8K
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
476 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.24
$-237.76
- YES
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
468 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.23
$-233.77
- YES
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
468 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.23
$-233.77
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?
466 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.23
$-232.77
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next?
383 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.19
$-191.49
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?
374 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.19
$-186.79
- YES
Will Antoine Griezmann be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
488 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-244.05
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
488 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-243.82
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
487 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-243.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-243.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?$0.28Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next?$0.66Jul 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.40Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$460.53Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- SPLITWill Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$461.00Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darius Garland win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$461.52Jun 12, 08:00 UTC
- SPLITWill Darius Garland win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$462.00Jun 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$461.52Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- SPLITWill Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$462.00Jun 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$461.72Jun 11, 09:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$462.20Jun 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$462.52Jun 11, 08:57 UTC
- SPLITWill Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$463.00Jun 11, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Courtney Gill be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$462.69Jun 10, 08:41 UTC
- SPLITWill Courtney Gill be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$463.17Jun 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$463.52Jun 10, 08:37 UTC
- SPLITWill Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$464.00Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Royse be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$463.65Jun 10, 08:32 UTC
- SPLITWill Paul Royse be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$464.13Jun 10, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $396.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.