Rubbery-Waterspout
0xa000bceed21af44012d714b3092fa4da0fd94afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$84.45
Total PnL
$-563.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the next James Bond be British?
37 shares @ 29.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.37
$26.37
- NO
Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?
33 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$33.33
$8.33
- NO
BitBoy convicted?
14 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.75
$2.75
- SCHIMEL
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
1733 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-151.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1664 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?
725 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
227 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-57.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Nov 5, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Nov 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Nov 5, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$2.51Nov 5, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$10.00Nov 5, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$30.00Nov 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$50.00Nov 5, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens $0.00Nov 3, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens $0.00Nov 3, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens $22.73Nov 3, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.00Nov 3, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Nov 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$80.00Apr 2, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$7.20Apr 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?$1.00Apr 2, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?$1.00Apr 2, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?$1.00Apr 2, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?$5.00Apr 2, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?$5.00Apr 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?$5.00Apr 2, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".