Polite-Dueling
0xa0042e6498d6ce8b07c9810066879ac82f31290e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6757 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5076 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
1588 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1511 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-249.39
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1148 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1068 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.89
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
700 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-21?
584 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?
556 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $230.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.