Polite-Dueling
0xa0042e6498d6ce8b07c9810066879ac82f31290e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
1588 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1511 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-249.39
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1148 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
700 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-21?
584 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?
556 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?
375 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-28?
360 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?$164.75Dec 10, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$144.75Dec 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$131.72Dec 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?$20.00Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$10.00Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?$10.00Dec 9, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?$191.72Dec 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?$124.62Dec 9, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?$124.62Dec 9, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?$102.19Dec 8, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$100.00Nov 25, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$100.00Nov 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$200.00Nov 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$480.00Nov 8, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?$281.41Nov 8, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?$150.00Nov 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?$200.00Nov 8, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?$2.1KNov 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?$1.7KNov 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$249.39Oct 27, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $225.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".