Lustrous-Seashore
0xa03344df620cbc65d85dd1084d4ab144a2936a77
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$24.29
Total PnL
$-11.45
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$19.75
$9.68
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
5 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.55
$0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.36
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$10.72Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$10.42Jun 5, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?$4.40Apr 24, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$4.45Apr 24, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?$4.87Apr 24, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?$4.45Apr 19, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?$4.50Apr 14, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13?$5.50Apr 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13?$7.50Apr 13, 11:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13?$25.50Apr 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13?$25.50Apr 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$4.45Mar 25, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?$4.92Mar 1, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$10.76Jan 11, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?$1.00Jan 11, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.03Jan 11, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?$1.00Dec 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $32.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.