Celebrated-Causeway
0xa036d2da768fc792421c4512d5b645137d8fcce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 21?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 21?
920 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.40
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
414 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.14
- YES
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
400 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-27.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 12?
348 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 22?
218 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
209 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 24?
205 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 23?
177 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
164 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$2.29Feb 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$2.30Feb 5, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$2.68Feb 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEU dissolves before 2027?$2.67Feb 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$2.93Jan 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?$2.93Jan 25, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?$3.18Jan 25, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.18Jan 25, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.13Jan 23, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU dissolves before 2027?$3.12Jan 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.79Jan 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$9.00Jan 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 21?$3.00Jan 20, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?$20.00Jan 20, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?$2.00Jan 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19?$3.00Jan 19, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?$3.50Jan 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 12?$4.00Jan 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 12?$3.58Jan 12, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".