Male-Violin
0xa037d9ae501a6830a8f37610e6bac4b721672fb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-348.73
Realised
$82.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
630 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$462.84
$3.07
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
500 shares @ 90.8¢·now 87.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$436.75
$-17.25
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
400 shares @ 86.6¢·now 74.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$299.19
$-47.40
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$198.19
$68.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$195.10
$7.10
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?
200 shares @ 89.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$189.10
$10.90
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
200 shares @ 92.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$187.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
1209 shares @ 38.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$126.93
$-332.16
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$98.44
$9.45
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July?
100 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$97.40
$5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$1.88Jul 22, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$7.12Jul 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$30.00Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$7.40Jul 22, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$88.90Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$4.00Jul 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$0.60Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$14.00Jul 21, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$200.00Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$79.80Jul 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$92.00Jul 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$26.40Jul 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$0.21Jul 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$92.50Jul 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$94.00Jul 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$35.72Jul 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.25Jul 17, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.22Jul 17, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.94Jul 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$24.89Jul 15, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.