0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e
0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-739.82
Realised
$-60.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1600 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.6K
$96.00
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$82.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
11 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$0.84
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
1132 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.73
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?
860 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.12
- NO
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
825 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-359.26
- YES
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?
755 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
564 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.26
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?
454 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.5KApr 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$4.00Apr 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$76.00Apr 27, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$833.33Apr 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$29.71Apr 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?$30.29Apr 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$75.00Apr 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$6.80Apr 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?$30.00Apr 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMMeta "Mango" model released by March 31?$430.00Apr 16, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.2KApr 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$700.00Apr 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$4.00Apr 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$200.00Apr 15, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 25, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.57Mar 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.37Mar 13, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $81.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.