Formal-Plier
0xa0515b650ab965108c8aafd6d0a01680670667b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$96.05
Total PnL
$-894.84
Realised
$13.77
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
362 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.05
$-56.18
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4438 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.02
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
518 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
454 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-32.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
376 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.95
- NO
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
244 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
235 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-34.92
- ASTRALIS
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
135 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.38
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Celtics
129 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-27.02
- SK GAMING
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5$10.17Apr 29, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.18Apr 29, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RMD Gaming vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 4 Winner$9.78Apr 28, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.78Apr 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 2 Winner$15.24Apr 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A$15.23Apr 27, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A$9.87Apr 27, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 8?$1.04Apr 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.26Apr 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.57Apr 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$152.23Apr 26, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$152.23Apr 26, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$107.98Apr 26, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00Apr 26, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$5.00Apr 26, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$249.25Apr 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.74Apr 26, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$20.01Apr 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner$10.00Apr 23, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $40.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".