Bronze-Prey
0xa0739a672e3b54b8ac72e986e85de51d9fe4652d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
96
Open notional
$25.24
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
24 shares @ 70.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.58
$3.70
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
1 shares @ 90.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.38
- REYMOND/SANCHEZ
San Marino (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Gornes/Walkow
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?
467 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$1.00Jul 29, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Gornes/Walkow$1.00Jul 29, 17:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28?$1.01Jul 28, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28?$1.00Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$207.36Jul 26, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$1.05Jul 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$100.45Jul 26, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$9.00Jul 26, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$81.00Jul 26, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$1.00Jul 26, 10:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$1.09Jul 25, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$177.64Jul 25, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$5.22Jul 25, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$1.90Jul 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$100.60Jul 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$57.89Jul 25, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $29.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.