Rash-Hearthside
0xa089d47ba07f1d1794bfc35927f0373b99e32275
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-429.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$33.14May 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$106.41May 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$106.35May 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$55.33May 19, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$51.18May 19, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$638.23Feb 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$584.40Feb 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$174.90Feb 26, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$600.00Feb 26, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$526.58Feb 25, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$450.00Feb 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$826.12Feb 23, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$877.79Feb 22, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Feb 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$876.81Feb 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$50.00Feb 19, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $262.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.