Watchful-Surprise
0xa08a141bb85050b4d15ef565a60ee5e0c6d06c52
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-267.03
Realised
$-2.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 26?
286 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.90 on November 16?
284 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?
282 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on November 20?
279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- UP
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on November 13?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 28?
270 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 11?
269 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?
269 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?
268 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 31?$197.83Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 31?$5.13May 31, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 31?$14.91May 31, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 31?$165.67May 30, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 31?$10.93May 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$3.38May 26, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$181.69May 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$0.44May 23, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$179.80May 23, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?$221.07May 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?$219.30May 11, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$33.31May 11, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?$202.41May 3, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$21.81Apr 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$8.83Apr 25, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?$0.00Apr 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?$200.79Apr 19, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of April 6 2026?$233.43Apr 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14?$2.11Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of April 6 2026?$231.56Apr 10, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $83.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.