Optimistic-Stranger
0xa09b031d6588b5f4923f7e02bed30c0a6742db3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-24.3K
Realised
$214.06
Win rate
84%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
626 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$599.39
$0.94
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
1000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$554.99
$5.00
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$300.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.50
$4.50
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.50
$-0.50
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
17556 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12PM ET
11078 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
9797 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
9251 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-132.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 20?
8829 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-446.52
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$533.64Jun 3, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.52Jun 3, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.96Jun 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$47.80Jun 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5.54Jun 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.12Jun 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.88Jun 3, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$306.30Jun 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$557.42Jun 2, 20:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.08Jun 1, 12:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.27May 31, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.37May 31, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$500.01May 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$499.48May 30, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $89.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".