Ugly-Cofactor
0xa0a451f78f55987a3613fcecd1e2346bf4ad96b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$16.84
Total PnL
$-31.46
Realised
$2.43
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?
11 shares @ 82.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$10.91
$1.96
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.40
$0.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 39.7¢·now 26.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
11 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
9 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?$2.00Apr 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?$6.00Apr 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?$0.61Apr 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?$1.00Apr 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?$2.00Apr 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$1.00Apr 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 16, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 16, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?$1.11Apr 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?$1.00Apr 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 16, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.57Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.97Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.79Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 14, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.00Apr 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.04Apr 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.