Kindhearted-Dinosaur
0xa0bb2cf510964a44301f8547ffc824ed19ba2a16
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$72.53
Realised
$228.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 10.2¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$294.98
$91.52
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
400 shares @ 20.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$170.00
$90.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
840 shares @ 17.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$147.05
$-2.95
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$112.98
$6.98
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 20.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$90.33
$-33.41
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.50
$31.50
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.00
$31.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 10.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.84
$15.84
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
531 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$45.43
$-7.94
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 8.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.96
$7.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$84.52Jun 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$32.51Jun 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$26.94Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$93.00Jun 12, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $34.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.