Educated-Division
0xa0dc293d6eebfaf04e03d23f8144de6985a464d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$218.68
Total PnL
$-373.52
Realised
$-0.40
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
66 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$66.29
$1.29
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
51 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.44
$0.25
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.14
$0.75
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.53
$9.77
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 91.5¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
150 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.07
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
101 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
79 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- YES
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
68 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 23?$5.53Jul 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 22?$2.97Jul 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 22?$4.43Jul 22, 13:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.01Jul 20, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$47.19Jul 19, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$13.72Jul 19, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$1.54Jul 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$3.03Jul 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$5.24Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$1.58Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$8.50Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$8.50Jul 18, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$8.50Jul 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 England?$2.08Jul 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?$0.27Jul 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?$0.81Jul 18, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland to win the second half?$3.33Jul 18, 21:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.