Extroverted-Horseradish
0xa0dff4c069a0d22ac2dcced5e3ac475ea6c3e268
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$141.86
Total PnL
$-536.56
Realised
$18.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.68
$28.68
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15 shares @ 34.2¢·now 49.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.21
$2.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.11
$-20.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
531 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.86
$-54.76
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
170 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
60 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
53 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.17May 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.00May 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$20.00May 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$7.76May 20, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.31May 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.01May 20, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$24.45May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$23.05May 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$101.28May 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$104.73Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$27.19Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$24.47Mar 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$24.47Mar 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$95.02Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$115.02Mar 9, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$85.10Mar 8, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$85.09Mar 8, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $64.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".