Extroverted-Horseradish
0xa0dff4c069a0d22ac2dcced5e3ac475ea6c3e268
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$10.90
Total PnL
$-678.52
Realised
$18.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15 shares @ 34.2¢·now 74.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.90
$5.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
531 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-56.62
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
170 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
162 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
60 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
53 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$11.12Jun 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.17May 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.00May 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$20.00May 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$7.76May 20, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.31May 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.01May 20, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$24.45May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$23.05May 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$101.28May 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$104.73Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$27.19Mar 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$24.47Mar 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$24.47Mar 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$95.02Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$115.02Mar 9, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$85.10Mar 8, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $63.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.