Major-Founding-Tintype
0xa0e165ed0d15df35681e824bca5ca196d2f0a653
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$43.83
Total PnL
$-45.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?
11 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.93
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$7.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 19.9¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?
18 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$6.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.53
$1.53
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.6¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.57
$-0.05
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.13
$-0.87
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?$9.05Jul 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?$8.95Jul 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.74Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?$2.10Jul 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?$7.21Jul 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?$2.07Jul 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?$1.57Jul 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?$8.80Jul 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?$6.10Jul 13, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?$6.10Jul 13, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.64Jul 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 13?$18.54Jul 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.67Jul 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?$3.11Jul 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings$6.21Jul 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$3.19Jul 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 14?$3.10Jul 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$9.99Jul 12, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.