Variable-Reorganisation
0xa1263de65e8a90fd4acdf70ed194b7972b527c7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-456.56
Realised
$8.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
22500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-109.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
9287 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-93.37
- YES
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
491 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 7?
353 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-96.37
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?
175 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- TWISTED MINDS
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B
144 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-06?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.23May 6, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$6.94May 6, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00May 3, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.09May 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.10May 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.72May 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.17May 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.37May 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.22May 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.01May 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.52May 3, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$16.72Apr 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.00Apr 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Apr 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$21.07Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.00Apr 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Apr 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$100.00Apr 7, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $25.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".