Cheerful-Ladybug
0xa136a7eca4520822e06e32498a5a60bd9c322965
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$629.95
Total PnL
$-874.53
Realised
$-52.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
2520 shares @ 57.2¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$629.95
$-810.44
- YES
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$19.94Jun 12, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$6.06Jun 12, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$25.00Jun 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$74.97Jun 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$14.67Jun 5, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?$1.30Jun 4, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$0.18May 31, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$0.56May 31, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$0.56May 31, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$1.11May 31, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$7.60May 30, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 20 be between 80 and 85?$5.00May 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 20 be between 80 and 85?$4.99May 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$55.17May 25, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$50.41May 25, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$20.00May 25, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?$354.26May 21, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $50.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.